blog: AI in 2030

blog: AI in 2030

“A.i. will be as smart as the average human in 10 years time.” is a statement often used today. And it’s usually followed by some doomsday talk about politics needs to take this into account. But is this really a doomsday scenario? An AI comparable in capability to a human brain is not the same […]

citizens and an electric bus in the automagic city

the Automagic City

Science fiction author Arthur C Clarke once said that extremely advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. Today, technology is so complex that even those clever enough to get how it works will understand only a fraction of everything it can do.
read the manifesto…

Unicorn communicating with a street lamp in the automagic city

Why write the Automagic City manifesto?

“How do we change this?” was the question. Or more accurate: “How do we change this with minimal effort?” The minimal effort part of the question was critical for two reasons. First, there was a severe shortage on resources. Second, changing the future is hard, really hard. Unless you can find a situation where everything is in place and just needs a small nudge to get going. Then it’s easy.
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blog: Asimov and Psychohistory

blog: Asimov and Psychohistory

Some time ago in a meeting I was describing how we have methods to find chaotic points, in the present and in the near future, where it’s possible to use very small resources to change the general direction of the future. One participant interrupts me with “But that’s like Asimov*s Psychohistory!” and I respond with “Yeah …” and try to continue talking but he interrupts me again with “But don’t you get it? you’re saying you have invented Psychohistory! Psychohistory!!!” and I’m thinking “I wish we had…”. I say “Yes, we have.” because I know that if I don’t…
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SLAAK

SLAAK was founded by Rasmus Larsson and Erika Lockne in Stockholm, Sweden 2004. SLAAK started as a research laboratory based around internet enabled methods for trendspotting, futures research and futures strategy. These methods where something Rasmus had started developing in 1996 as a management team member at Wognum Art, an internet strategy and design agency.
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Deception of exponential growth. Linear curve, how you think change behave. Exponential curve, how actual change behave. The difference causes early phase disappointment, and late phasechaos, disruption, amazement.

Deception of exponential growth – infographic

Deception of exponential growth. Linear curve, how you think change behave. Exponential curve, how actual change behave. The difference causes early phase disappointment, and late phase chaos, disruption, amazement.

Location, Geographic area of influence

Small Location Based Futures Study

A small location-based futures study investigates the current state of a location from an overall perspective and relates its current state to a global business intelligence and futures analysis. It’s the foundation for any resilient location-based strategy.

Awake – Early Warning

Do you just hate being surprised with bad news when its to late to do something about it? We know the feeling. What Awake is our early warning service. It’s an ongoing service where we at regular intervals take a look at your business environment, specific areas of interest to you, general trends and watch […]

Business Wargaming

Ever wanted to make important business decisions and be able to have an undo button if they turn out wrong? That is what Business Wargaming is for, to provide you with an undo button until you know what the right decision is. How We model your business environment and create one or more game scenarios […]

Panic Relief

Panic Relief

Did the world just change into something completely incomprehensible? Panic… and apply to get in on our guest list for Panic Relief. What is Panic Relief? Panic Relief is a flash, pop-up, ad hoc, very informal, possibly secret, social mingle, talk, club thingy where we discuss the future. It’s so informal we don’t even book […]

Black Hole Investigation

Black Hole Investigation

The things that will have the biggest impact on the future is almost always undetected because they tend to happen inside Informational Black Holes. An Informational Black Hole is a phenomenon that don’t send out information or do send out information that doesn’t make sense.

Clearing Fog Research

Clearing Fog Research

Did you just stumble upon something that might be a threat or an opportunity… but don’t know? We check it for you, and clear the fog. What is Clearing Fog Research? Clearing Fog Research is investigative research, very similar to business intelligence, but with a more futurological and entrepreneurial way of analyzing. It’s the fundamental […]

Chaos Modeling

Chaos Modeling

How do you deal with a multitude of longterm mega trends, short-term trends, sustainable innovations, disruptive innovations, political decisions, competitors, new markets, the overall economy and your own business in the middle of it all? You do Chaos Modeling. What is Chaos Modeling? Chaos Modeling is an advanced analysis and modeling technique created by SLAAK. […]